Latest Poll: Surge for ”Other Parties”

The parties not represented in the Riksdag are heading for a significantly stronger showing than in the last election. In SVT/Verian’s latest voter poll, ”other parties” are projected to receive 2.7 percent of the vote—nearly double their share in the 2022 election.

Just before the election, the SVT/Verian poll shows voter barometer a clear boost for the parties outside the Riksdag. The ”Others” group received 2.7 percent, compared with 1.5 percent in the 2022 election. This represents an increase of 1.2 percentage points.

Verian also identifies voters outside the eight parties represented in the Riksdag as one of the groups that could influence the final outcome. The survey was conducted September 4–10 and is based on 3,063 interviews with people who indicated their party affiliation.

The Hidden Struggle Behind 2.7 Percent

However, it is not clear which parties are driving the increase. The nationalist party Alternative for Sweden and the other smaller parties are grouped together under ”Others,” which means their individual levels of support remain hidden in the poll.

This also means that surprises are possible on Election Day. The 2.7 percent is enough for a single party to garner one percent or more, while significant support remains for other small parties. However, the poll does not provide a basis for determining that the distribution actually looks that way.

At the same time, there is additional potential—as well as uncertainty—beyond the party support reported in the poll. 9.3 percent of respondents did not indicate a party. If these voters go to the polls, their votes could also be distributed among the parties in the ”Others” category, which means that the current 2.7 percent does not set a ceiling on the election results for small parties.

AFS Sees an Opportunity for a Breakthrough

Alternativ för Sverige is among the parties that now hope to capitalize on the high level of support for ”Others.” The party itself drew attention to Verian’s figures on X:

”SVT/Verian’s latest pre-election poll shows ”Other Parties” at 2.7 percent, significantly higher than in the last parliamentary election (1.5 percent).”

For AFS, one percent represents a significant partial victory. The party states that this threshold would, among other things, mean that ballots would be printed and distributed in 2030, and that ballot costs for this year’s election would be reimbursed. AFS also anticipates greater media exposure and more opportunities to participate in debates.

Election Day Reveals the Strength

One percent is just over one-third of Verian’s 2.7 percent for ”Others.” So there is room in the numbers for AFS to reach its goal—but only once the votes are counted will it become clear how the support is actually distributed.

For AFS, such a level could create entirely different conditions for further growth. The party itself briefly describes its goal as follows: ”… and then we can take our seats in the Riksdag in the next election!”