Six out of ten believe Andersson will fail

In a new poll, 57 percent of voters believe that Magdalena Andersson will not be able to garner enough support to become prime minister. Right-wing voters are the most pessimistic, while supporters of the Social Democrats, the Left Party, and the Green Party are significantly more optimistic—and the Center Party is divided.

A clear majority of voters do not believe that Magdalena Andersson succeed in forming a government. In a new survey from DN/Ipsos When asked whether the Social Democratic Party leader will secure the support needed to become prime minister, 57 percent answered “no.” The percentage who believe she will succeed is 33 percent.

– The number of people who believe she won't be able to form a government is nearly twice as high, says Nicklas Källebring, a public opinion analyst at Ipsos.

The Center Party Is Divided

These assessments are largely tied to voters’ own political leanings. More than eight out of ten right-wing voters believe Andersson will fail. Among those who vote for the Social Democrats, the Left Party, or the Green Party, on the other hand, about six out of ten think she has a good chance of succeeding. The figures are highest among voters for the Left Party and the Green Party. Center Party voters are more divided—just over four in ten predict success for the Social Democratic leader, while nearly as many predict defeat.

The crux of the matter is that Red-Green voters have differing expectations regarding what a successful government formation should achieve. V supporters prefer a three-party coalition without the Center Party, while a majority of those who vote for S or MP want the Center Party to be included as well. The poll comes in the midst of a deadlocked government formation process, in which neither the red-green bloc nor the Tidö bloc has managed to garner sufficient support following the election. The fact that a majority of voters already expect Andersson to fail to form a government reflects the current parliamentary situation.